St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#181
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#173
Pace69.9#150
Improvement+2.0#101

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#82
First Shot+2.0#115
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#73
Layup/Dunks+2.0#93
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#97
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#263
Freethrows+0.9#110
Improvement+1.5#109

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#299
First Shot-2.0#251
After Offensive Rebounds-2.2#336
Layups/Dunks-1.8#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.5#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 34 - 24 - 5
Quad 417 - 521 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 58-72 15%     0 - 1 -3.8 -12.5 +9.8
  Nov 08, 2019 52   @ Richmond L 98-100 OT 12%     0 - 2 +10.2 +19.1 -8.7
  Nov 13, 2019 322   @ Morgan St. W 71-65 73%     1 - 2 -1.2 -4.7 +3.4
  Nov 16, 2019 198   American W 79-76 66%     2 - 2 -1.9 +10.9 -12.5
  Nov 19, 2019 184   Delaware L 64-79 62%     2 - 3 -18.9 -9.6 -10.2
  Nov 23, 2019 12   @ Florida St. L 65-80 5%     2 - 4 +2.6 -0.7 +3.8
  Nov 30, 2019 257   @ Saint Joseph's W 79-63 57%     3 - 4 +13.4 +5.1 +8.9
  Dec 04, 2019 295   Lehigh W 77-69 83%     4 - 4 -2.7 -2.1 -0.7
  Dec 07, 2019 251   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 63-60 56%     5 - 4 +0.7 -6.8 +7.7
  Dec 22, 2019 194   William & Mary W 78-72 54%     6 - 4 +4.3 +2.7 +1.6
  Jan 02, 2020 254   @ Bryant L 63-67 56%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -6.4 -5.6 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2020 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 93-69 87%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +10.9 +1.7 +6.1
  Jan 09, 2020 336   Wagner W 80-62 90%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +2.8 -4.5 +6.9
  Jan 11, 2020 309   St. Francis Brooklyn W 81-80 84%     9 - 5 3 - 1 -10.3 +0.7 -11.0
  Jan 15, 2020 282   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 100-85 61%     10 - 5 4 - 1 +11.3 +12.8 -2.9
  Jan 18, 2020 206   Sacred Heart W 72-65 67%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +1.7 -1.4 +3.4
  Jan 20, 2020 233   Merrimack L 55-72 73%     11 - 6 5 - 2 -24.0 -12.6 -12.7
  Jan 23, 2020 274   @ LIU Brooklyn L 81-86 60%     11 - 7 5 - 3 -8.2 -1.1 -6.6
  Jan 25, 2020 309   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 79-86 67%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -12.3 +5.7 -18.0
  Jan 30, 2020 346   Central Connecticut St. W 84-77 95%     12 - 8 6 - 4 -12.1 +2.6 -14.6
  Feb 01, 2020 254   Bryant W 84-64 77%     13 - 8 7 - 4 +11.6 +5.5 +5.4
  Feb 06, 2020 206   @ Sacred Heart W 70-68 44%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +2.7 -1.7 +4.4
  Feb 08, 2020 336   @ Wagner W 85-68 79%     15 - 8 9 - 4 +7.9 +7.2 +1.0
  Feb 15, 2020 293   @ Mount St. Mary's W 70-55 64%     16 - 8 10 - 4 +10.5 +2.2 +9.8
  Feb 18, 2020 208   Robert Morris W 86-71 68%     17 - 8 11 - 4 +9.5 +9.7 -0.5
  Feb 23, 2020 274   LIU Brooklyn W 74-71 79%     18 - 8 12 - 4 -6.3 -6.9 +0.4
  Feb 27, 2020 293   Mount St. Mary's W 75-62 82%     19 - 8 13 - 4 +2.4 +4.2 -0.5
  Feb 29, 2020 208   @ Robert Morris L 68-78 45%     19 - 9 13 - 5 -9.5 +1.8 -12.2
  Mar 04, 2020 254   Bryant W 87-61 77%     20 - 9 +17.6 +10.1 +7.2
  Mar 07, 2020 206   Sacred Heart W 84-72 67%     21 - 9 +6.7 +9.7 -2.8
  Mar 10, 2020 208   @ Robert Morris L 67-77 45%     21 - 10 -9.5 +0.6 -11.0
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%